The Quantitative Core
How few euros, deployed at the right layer, move how many young lives. Reach per euro, not return per euro.
254.7M is a 2035 goal, not current reach. Earning access to networks that together reach more than 200 million young people a year.
Move the scenario
Stated waypoints, 1.0x
Total raise target
€5.5M
Phase 1 + Phase 2
Phase 2 budget
€5M
Activation, Years 1 to 2
Technology line
€1.5M
30% of Phase 2
Reach goal (Base)
254.7M
Cumulative by 2035
Cost per peacemaker
€5
Marginal, Phase 2+
Goal attainment (Base)
100%
Of the 2035 trajectory
Figures reflect the current plan and are subject to confirmation.
Executive synthesis
One bounded build line beneath a quarter-billion lives
This is not a return model. There is no equity and no donor financial return. The story is leverage and impact: a single technology line sits underneath reach scaling from 200 facilitators in 2026 toward 130,000 facilitators and a 254.7M cumulative 2035 goal, carried through networks the coalition already controls.
Install once
One protocol installs underneath the platforms young people already use.
Install deep
Each coalition partner deploys it inside their own surfaces and accreditation.
Deploy everywhere
A single build reaches across every partner network at the same time.
Sensitivity
Conservative, Base, Ambitious
| Case | Deployment | 2035 reach | Goal attainment | Funding envelope | Cost per life (ceiling) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 0.6x | 152.8M | 60% | €5M | €0.0327 |
| Base | 1.0x | 254.7M | 100% | €5M | €0.0196 |
| Ambitious | 1.2x | 305.6M | 120% | €5M | €0.0164 |
The build cost is largely fixed across cases. If reach overshoots, cost per life touched falls; if it undershoots, the rails still exist and serve later cohorts. The downside is a tipping point that arrives later, not a gift that is lost. The cost-per-life column is an illustrative ceiling, not a unit cost: the denominator is a 2035 goal and the numerator excludes the continuation funding that carries most 2028 to 2035 reach. Figures reflect the current plan and are subject to confirmation.
Reach in this case
254.7M
Cumulative toward the 2035 goal
Funding envelope
€5M
Largely fixed across cases
Cost-per-life ceiling
€0.0196
Illustrative, not a unit cost
Trajectory
Cumulative reach to the 2035 goal
Showing the base case against both sensitivity bands. Current cumulative goal under this case: 254.7M.
254.7M is a 2035 goal, not current reach. Coalition reach is borrowed through partner networks.
Use of funds
The Phase 2 budget, €5M across six categories
- Technology Platform & Digital Scale
- Global Facilitator Training & Programme Delivery
- Movement Building & Strategic Communications
- Programme & Coalition Coordination
- Impact Measurement, Research & Learning
- Systems, Safeguarding & Contingency
| Category | Amount | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Platform & Digital Scale | €1.5M | 30% |
| Global Facilitator Training & Programme Delivery | €1M | 20% |
| Movement Building & Strategic Communications | €750K | 15% |
| Programme & Coalition Coordination | €750K | 15% |
| Impact Measurement, Research & Learning | €600K | 12% |
| Systems, Safeguarding & Contingency | €400K | 8% |
| Total | €5M | 100% |
The 30% technology slice is the line the development partnership owns end to end. Figures reflect the current plan and are subject to confirmation.
The three lanes
Inspire, Prepare, Succeed
The goal splits across three pathways at different depths and different costs per head. Inspire is mass-reach awareness, cheapest per life. Succeed is mentored facilitation, the most intensive per life. The chart shows how the 250M goal divides; the cards and table show the leverage inside each lane.
Pathway split of the 2035 goal
| Lane | Reach goal | Share | Illustrative cost per life |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inspire | 225M | 90% | €0.0200 |
| Prepare | 20M | 8% | €0.0200 |
| Succeed | 5M | 2% | €0.0200 |
| Total | 250M | 100% |
The euro-per-lane split is a proportional illustration that understates Succeed and overstates Inspire until a real per-lane allocation is supplied.
Inspire
225M
90% of the goal
Mass-reach awareness through the coalition surfaces young people already use. Cheapest per head.
Prepare
20M
8% of the goal
Structured Nonflict learning and accreditation for young people who go deeper.
Succeed
5M
2% of the goal
Mentored facilitators who carry the method into their own communities. Most intensive per head.
Pathway reach figures are a 2035 goal. Figures reflect the current plan and are subject to confirmation.
Partnership
How a family joins
€100K
Family Partnership
An entry partnership for families joining the founding circle of the Youth Led Peace Collaboration.
€250K
Founding Family Partnership
The Phase 1 founding gift. Funds programme design, governance, safeguarding, and the secretariat alongside the technology architecture.
€1M+
Architect Partner
A leadership commitment across Phase 1 and Phase 2, shaping the coalition at the architectural level.
Phase 1 - Programme Design & Readiness
€500K
2026
Modeled base case: two Founding Families (2 × €250K = €500K).
Phase 2 - Activation, Years 1 to 2
€5M
2026 to 2028
Six-category activation budget delivered over twenty-four months.
A commitment is a gift, not an investment. There is no equity and no financial return. Figures reflect the current plan and are subject to confirmation.
The model
The integrated financial model
A twelve-tab, live-formula model. Every downstream tab references a single Assumptions driver: change the scenario or any input and it flows through reach, unit economics, and the impact valuation. Euros throughout.
This is an analytical leverage-and-impact model, not an appraisal. No equity value, no donor return. Figures reflect the current plan and are subject to confirmation.
Important: A commitment to Million Peacemakers is a charitable gift, not an investment. There is no security, no equity, and no financial return. Coalition reach is borrowed through partner networks that each partner controls. The 2035 reach figure is a goal, not reach in hand. Figures reflect the current plan and are subject to confirmation. Forward-looking statements involve subjective judgment and actual results may differ.